Wednesday, March 17, 2021

Good and Bad in the Lakewood State Aid Case

One of the most significant state aid news events of the past month is the decision by an Administrative Law Judge, Susan M. Scarola, that the School Funding Reform Act is not necessarily unconstitutional for Lakewood, but that the Commissioner of Education could decide on a special budgetary remedy for Lakewood.


An administrative law judge has determined the public school district cannot fulfill its constitutional mandate to provide students a "thorough and efficient education," but stopped short of determining that the state funding formula is unconstitutional. 

In a non-binding decision Judge Susan Scarola recommended that the New Jersey Commissioner of Education conduct a needs assessment of the school district's ability to meet its obligations and make "appropriate recommendations to the district."
 
The decision scarcely binds the Acting Education Commissioner Dr. Angelica Allen-McMillan to do anything; the recommendation may be adopted, modified or rejected by Allen-McMillan. But the harsh assessment — that the school district cannot meet its constitutional mandate — puts fresh focus on the troubled school district and pressure on the state's top education official to intervene.

The situation in Lakewood is complex, and I agree and disagree with the ALJ's decision.  I agree with the ALJ that Lakewood has the capacity to increase its local taxes, but I disagree that SFRA might produce an adequate state aid amount for Lakewood even if Lakewood paid 100% of its Local Fair Share.  If you look at Lakewood's unique demographics, there is no possibility of that. (See "The Origins of Lakewood's Budget Disaster")

Background

The School Funding Reform Act bases Lakewood's Adequacy Budget, and hence its Equalization Aid, on the number of students who are enrolled in the public schools, which is 5,896 for 2020-21.

If you look at the number of Lakewood students who are Out Of District special ed placement compared to the Lakewood Public Schools, it is wildly disproportionate, but if you look at the number who are in Out Of District placement compared to the whole Lakewood population, it is merely average.  

Equalization Aid is meant to be a district's "all purpose state aid."  Equalization Aid, along with the local tax levy, that is is supposed to be used for everything from teacher salaries to basketballs to furnace repairs to reading coaches, to most relevant for Lakewood, Out of District tuition and private school transportation.

Year2011-20122012-20132013-20142014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-2021
OOD Tuition$18,089,987$19,587,230$20,979,587$18,325,244$17,972,788$24,777,814$27,648,082$30,052,929$31,865,269$33,922,516
Transportation Spending$14,978,022$15,978,039$22,989,657$25,449,467$28,093,613$31,780,583$31,963,75337,638,604 443,252,944 5$51,100,775

Transportation Aid covers about a third of (mandated) private school bussing, but the other two-thirds are meant to be paid for with the local tax levy and (if eligible) Equalization Aid.   Extraordinary Aid covers a fifth of Out Of District tuition, but the rest of the spending is supposed to come from the local tax levy and (if eligible) Equalization Aid.  




So Lakewood's Equalization Aid would be inadequate in any case, but Lakewood's sub-problem is that its Equalization Aid is $0.  (It is not clear that the ALJ realized this)


In a normal district, private school transportation is a tiny expense and Out of District tuition falls in a range where the local tax levy, Extraordinary Aid, and, if relevant, Equalization Aid cover it.  

But not Lakewood, because Lakewood's public school population is only a sixth of the total population.  Lakewood's 362 students in special ed private schools out of ~35,000 are at New Jersey's 1% average, but they are over 6% of the public school enrollment of 5,896.

I believe the logic of the Lakewood situation indicates that SFRA doesn't work for Lakewood, but something worrisome about the ALJ's decision is that it is unclear if she realized Lakewood was already ineligible for Equalization Aid.

Adequacy Budget (for Equalization Aid)Local Fair Share
Equalization Aid
2017-18$109,857,390$102,034,106$7,823,284
2018-19$123,904,450$111,534,172$12,370,278
2019-20$123,598,294$123,904,450$0
2020-21$121,724,164$134,643,568$0


For instance:

The challenge is that when taxes were raised, they covered public schools and State aid was increased. But now, in Lakewood Township, the number of public school students stays about the same, while the non-public school student population goes up about 10% per year. This affects the budget in transportation, because Lakewood has to pay the LSTA $1,000 per student per year, which actually comes to about $710 per student after State aid is factored in. Usually taxes and State aid are sufficient for most communities to cover this expense, but in Lakewood, even with categorical aid and equalization aid, it is not enough because the equalization aid and the categorical aid are frozen. It is not enough because increased taxes do not cover the costs.

She does quote a witness who predicted Lakewood's Equalization Aid would go to zero, without realizing it already had.

The largest calculation in State aid is equalization aid, which is based on property value and income. Lakewood’s equalization aid is disappearing because of its increase in property value, and Wyns predicts that it will soon be zero. This is a consequence of recent amendments to the SFRA: adjustment aid and equalization aid will be gone, and only categorical aid of special education and security aid will be left.

And

The district has a revenue problem. The State-aid funding formula works well for 99% of the state. It does not work for Lakewood because the district cannot contribute to its adequacy budget because wealth and ratables are taken into account when calculating aid. The district gets some equalization aid. Lakewood has a base of 36,000 students, where one-sixth of the students are in public school and five-sixths are not. 

Also, Lakewood never was listed as getting Adjustment Aid.  It is among the small number of districts who flipped from being underaided to overaided in 2018-19, but it never had a sustained stream of Adjustment Aid like most overaided districts did.  

The ALJ also conflates Lakewood's loss of Equalization Aid with the loss of Adjustment Aid, when they are separate phenomena.  

Based on recent legislation, Lakewood’s equalization aid will disappear next year or the year after and will not be offset by any State-aid advances.

The disappearance of Lakewood's Equalization Aid has nothing to do with S2.  S2 phases out Adjustment Aid aid which causes Lakewood to lose state aid, but the disappearance of Equalization Aid is because of growth in the Local Fair Share and stability in the Adequacy Budget, and those predate S2.  S2 causes Lakewood to lose state aid, but it does not cause Lakewood to lose Equalization Aid per se.  


The judge is correct here:

The tax levy is not determined just by the 6,000 attending the public schools, but by Lakewood Township’s population and ratables. There is a bigger pot of money in Lakewood Township. The tax levy generated $96.9 million this year based on property taxes.

In 2020-21, Lakewood's Tax Levy-LFS gap is $28.7 million.   If Lakewood received an exemption from the tax cap, it could considerably mitigate its budget problems, although even an additional $28.7 million would not be sufficient, hence, Lakewood merits additional state aid.

(Lakewood's Local Fair Share would be only a 1.1% if it had to pay it.  This is below NJ's 2021-22 average ($131 million out of $12 billion)).

Tax LevyLocal Fair ShareLevy, LFS Gap
2015-16$91,024,977$96,735,200$5,710,223
2016-17$94,823,327$92,974,112-$1,849,215
2017-18$98,699,341$102,034,106$3,334,765
2018-19$100,827,483$111,534,172$10,706,689
2019-20$102,844,033$123,904,450$21,060,417
2020-21$105,870,754$134,643,568$28,772,814
2021-22
----$131,866,083

(The cause of the fall in LFS is reductions in LFS multipliers.)

Conclusion:

I think the Administrative Law Judge is right to look at Lakewood's strong tax base and recommend a more comprehensive solution than simply ordering more state aid, but in not knowing that Lakewood was already ineligible for Equalization Aid and conflating the disappearance of Lakewood's Equalization Aid with the phase-out of Adjustment Aid, Judge Scalora reveals gaps in state aid knowledge that are not fitting to a major state aid decision maker.  

Lakewood, uniquely, can make a strong case that SFRA does not give it sufficient state aid although by not appealing for tax cap liberalization in addition to state aid it weakens its case for either.


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