Showing posts with label government fragmentation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label government fragmentation. Show all posts

Monday, September 11, 2017

Sussex County Consolidation?


A recurring proposal to mitigate New Jersey's crushing property taxes is school district (and municipal) consolidation.

The argument seemingly has some merit.  Starting from the fact that New Jersey has 590 school districts, proponents say that if New Jersey had fewer school districts we would need fewer superintendents, fewer assistant superintendents, fewer business administrators, fewer assistant business administrators, etc and then save money.  The most informed advocates for consolidation might use Maryland as an example, which has only 24 county-size districts and much lower spending than New Jersey, with a 1.1 average property tax rate versus New Jersey's 2.4 average tax rate), while seemingly getting equivalent results.

The latest advocate for consolidation is Mayor Wayne Levante of Newton. Levante, a former teacher in Paterson, says that if all 25 of Sussex County's districts consolidated into a single countywide district it would save $6-$9 million.


Why even consider such a thing?
The major reason for consolidation: To save money. 
Per-pupil costs are rising in the county despite decreasingly enrollment, resulting in higher property taxes, according to the Newton resolution. 
Levante said a consolidated district would reduce school administrative costs in Sussex County by anywhere from $6 million to $9 million annually. 
Some school buildings might close as a result, Levante said.
He added that local school boards could still exist, with board presidents perhaps serving on an advisory committee for the county superintendent.

How it would work
The Newton resolution calls for having one county superintendent, one county business office, and all schools within the county overseen by the county office.

Levante, a former teacher in Paterson, drew a parallel to the set-up in New Jersey's third-largest city.

"I worked in Paterson ... It's like 50-something schools. You have one superintendent," Levante said.

Although I'm going to throw cold water on Mayor Levante's proposal, if any county in New Jersey merged into a countywide district, Sussex would be a good candidate.

  • Sussex County has a 2.94 all-in tax rate (with a 1.75 for the schools alone), compared to New Jersey's 2.4 all-in average.  Since Sussex County's taxes are so high, the need to do anything to save money is more acute.
  • Sussex County's districts are very small, with an average size of 805 students, compared to a statewide average of 2250.
  • Existing tax rates do vary, but not by as much as in other counties.
  • Sussex County towns are less unequal than towns in other counties. Sussex County has no districts in DFGs A or B or in DFG J. 
  • Sussex County's school taxes actually have the lowest Standard Deviation of any NJ county and the municipal taxes are the sixth lowest, meaning there would be less difficulty in equalizing school taxes and then municipal tax encumbrance.  
  • Sussex County is losing student population and its 21 overaided districts are overaided by $41 million.  If Adjustment Aid is cut, Sussex County districts will face budget cuts that could more easily be managed by a larger district.

Despite the relative practicality and need of consolidating Sussex, large, probably insurmountable, political difficulties would remain.

Saving $6-9 million is better than nothing, but it would be wrong to assume that every Sussex County taxpayer would benefit, since right now Sussex County contains 25 school districts with 25 tax rates, ranging from 2.365 in Hampton Boro to 1.435 in Branchville.  Consolidation would also require shifts in taxation, depending on how school taxes in a Sussex County superdistrict were apportioned.

If a town does not have a K-12 district, school tax rates reflect combined districts.
Source:
http://www.state.nj.us/dca/divisions/dlgs/resources/property_tax.html#1


One way taxes could be apportioned is the way county taxes already are, where the percentage of school taxes paid equals a town's percentage of the county's total Equalized Valuation.   Under this setup, if a district has 10% of the county's total Equalized Valuation, it would pay 10% of the school taxes.

Under apportionment by Equalized Valuation, Sussex County's swings in taxation wouldn't be as large as the swings in more diverse counties', but there would still be complaints.  If Equalized Valuation were used, Vernon's tax increase would be the largest.  Vernon right now taxes at 12% of Sussex County's total school tax levy ($37.9 million out of $295.5 million for 2016-17), but Vernon has 14% of Sussex County's total Equalized Valuation ($2.35 billion out of $16.85 billion).  So, if the total school tax bill stayed at $295.5 million, Vernon's taxes would rise to 14% of that, or $41.4 million.

Apportioning by Equalized Valuation isn't the only model.  A Sussex superdistrict could also apportion taxes based on what percentage of the total student body comes from the town, so if a town contributes 10% of the students, it pays 10% of the taxes, regardless of what its tax base is.

If tax apportionment is based on student body, tax rates would vary between towns.

Since tax rates would vary by town, the consolidated Sussex BOE's tax increases would hit some towns much harder than they would others.

Newton's taxpayers might pay the highest tax rate in Sussex County under a per student apportionment, since Newton has 5.2% of Sussex County's student population, but only 3.7% of the tax base.  If Newton had to pay 5.2% of Sussex County's school taxes, I estimate the school rate would become 2.5 alone.  (on top of municipal and county taxes)

(Math for calculation.  5.2% of $296 million = $15.4 million; $15.4 mil divided by Newton EV of $621 mil = 2.5%.  I cannot estimate whose tax rate would become the lowest, since not all Sussex districts are K12s.)

New regional districts in New Jersey, like Pittsgrove-Elmer and South-Hunterdon, use per pupil apportionment, but these new regional districts are created between towns that have similar tax bases and similar student populations.  The towns "look before they leap" and learn what their new tax rates will be. For South Hunterdon the variation is small, going from 1.2269 for Lambertville to 1.5710 West Amwell.

A hybrid tax apportionment, between Equalized Valuation and a per student apportionment, is also possible.

Manchester Regional in Passaic County has a hybrid system, where apportionment is based 50% on Equalized Valuation and 50% on pupil contribution.  This exists because North Haledon wants to exit the regional district entirely, but the NJ Supreme Court has not allowed it. The 50:50 apportionment deal is a compromise.

While the Manchester Regional model is defensible in the abstract, since Manchester Regional's component districts differ greatly in wealth, there are thus large differences in tax rate.

Thus, North Haledon has a tax rate of only 0.1866, but Prospect Park has a tax rate of 1.3346.

The problem is not Manchester Regional's tax apportionment formula itself; the problem is that Manchester Regional's component districts differ greatly in wealth.  If Manchester Regional's taxes were apportioned solely on pupil enrollment, like Pittsgrove-Elmer and South-Hunterdon, the differences in Manchester Regional's tax rates would be even greater.

In any case, if Sussex County used a per student tax apportionment plan, there would be large differences in tax rate.

See "Manchester Regional: NJ's Most Underaided and Most Divided District"))

Also problematic is that there would have to be a convergence of spending too. Right now Hamburg Boro is Sussex County's highest spender, with a Total Budgetary Cost Per Pupil of $25,092 per student. That high spending is mostly driven by over $2,027 per student in excess aid, but Hamburg also has extremely high school taxes, with a 2.132 tax rate.

Hardystown Township is Sussex County's lowest spender, at $13,873 per student. Hardystown is also overaided, but by only $1,353 per student, but it has chosen to be an undertaxer, with a 0.9 tax rate.

Source:
User Friendly Budgets,
http://www.nj.gov/education/finance/fp/ufb/2016/37.html

Unless higher spending is justified by more challenging demographics, what are now Sussex County's highest spending districts would have to make cuts after they become mere schools within the larger Sussex County superdistrict.

That Being Said, Sussex County Taxes are Less Unequal Than Most Other Counties

The Reference to Essex is because this graph is used in my Essex post as well.
Source, http://www.state.nj.us/dca/divisions/dlgs/resources/property_tax.html#1
Excel Calcuation of SD
The Reference to Essex is because this graph is used in my Essex post as well.


Sussex County's Taxes Would Still be Among the Nation's Worst

Assuming that the $6-$9 million in savings is correct, how much of a tax reduction is that for Sussex County really?

Sussex County's all-in tax levy was $490 million for 2016.  ($91,924,069 for county taxes, $295,631,557, for school district taxes, $103,186,926 for municipal taxes)  (see "Property Tax Information")

Sussex County's all-in tax rate is 2.9, which is much higher than the state average of 2.4 and 240% of the national average of 1.19.

So, even saving $9 million (the upper-bound estimate) would only equal 1.8% of the all-in tax burden, or 3% of the school tax burden.

The lower bound estimate, $6 million, would only be 1.2% of the all-in tax burden, or 2% of the school tax burden.

Even if there were complete municipal consolidation too and the savings were of the same order, Sussex County's taxes would still be at 2.8, which is still way about New Jersey's average, let alone the national average.

The truth is that governmental fragmentation doesn't lead to that much more administrative spending in New Jersey.

If school district consolidation allowed the closings of schools and a reduction of the teaching force, then yes, it would produce bigger savings.

If living in a big, countywide district led voters to be less tolerant of school tax increases than they are for increases for their own town, then that would produce large savings too.

Can Sussex County Afford Not to Consolidate?

Here is where state aid comes in.

21 of Sussex's districts are overaided with a total surplus of $42 million. (not counting Interdistrict Choice money. Three Sussex districts are underaided (Green, Lenape Valley Regional, and Newton), but with a deficit of only $5.8 million, most of which is Newton's.

Right now the distribution of state aid in Sussex County makes zero sense. Hopatcong is overaided by $9,126,016, or $5,888 per student, whereas Newton is underaided by -$4,205,916, or -$3,776 per student.




It's likely that Sussex County schools will lose state aid in the next few years, thereby creating budget stress. If a district only has a single school, managing those cuts is going to be very hard. if a district had multiple schools, managing the cuts is easier since an aging school could be closed.

Is this worth the fight?  

Although Sussex County could more easily consolidate than most other counties in New Jersey, the odds of consolidation happening are not high, with even Mayor Levante admitting "I know it's an uphill battle."

With that acknowledgement, I don't think a countywide consolidation is a fight worth fighting. Individual Sussex County districts could consolidate or create send-receive relationships, but creating a countywide district would be such a huge political lift that I think people who want lower taxes should fight on other fronts.

To be honest, district fragmentation and a proliferation of administrators isn't the real reason New Jersey has such high taxes.  The real reason is that New Jersey's teachers are the fifth best paid in the country and New Jersey has the third-lowest student:teacher ratio, and the same thing goes for other government employees.  The utopianism of Abbott, which diverts billions per year into Abbott districts in excess of what other states give their low-income districts, also forces extremely high taxes on non-Abbotts.  (See Education Spending and New Jersey Taxes)

Taken in a vacuum, county-wide districts have much to recommend them, but New Jersey has had home rule and governmental fragmentation for over a century.

As good looking in the abstract county districts are, and as functional as Maryland looks, when it comes to county-wide districts that ship sailed long ago.

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See Also:

Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Dear Everyone, New Jersey Actually DOESN'T Have That Many School Districts

One of the most often-repeated theories on why New Jersey has such extreme taxes is that we have an incredible proliferation of school districts and municipalities and that fragmentation creates inefficiency. According to the Fragmentation Theory, New Jersey's taxes are thus so high due to duplication, waste, and redundancy.

The theory is one of the most bipartisan ideas in the state, with people from even the extremes of both parties believing that government fragmentation is a major cause of our high taxes.


New Jersey has more than 600 school districts to educate 1.37 million public school students, which leaves the average district with fewer than 2,400 students. 
State Senators Christopher "Kip" Bateman and Joe Kyrillos sponsored the task force legislation to study consolidation and its potential benefits. 
"We have to begin working in earnest to create a more efficient and sustainable school system and regionalization and consolidation of services needs to be a part of that discussion," Bateman wrote in a statement.

The senator – who represents portions of Somerset, Hunterdon, Middlesex and Mercer counties – said regionalization has a potential to "enhance educational opportunities, streamline services and address a leading contributor to New Jersey's highest-in-the-nation property taxes." 
Supporters of consolidation say fewer school districts would mean less duplication of services and fewer administrators with six-figure salaries, pensions and benefits.
Of New Jersey's hundreds of school districts, more than 100 contain only one school, said Kyrillos, who represents portions of Monmouth County.
"There is clearly an opportunity to achieve efficiencies," he said in the statement.
 Independents like former Long Hill mayor and independent gubernatorial candidate Gina Genovese believe it:

Pundits, stakeholders, special interests and too many elected officials scoff at the idea of reducing the number of municipalities, school and fire districts. But how else will we be able to reduce expenses and drastically improve services? New Jersey has too much redundant government. Period. 
If we do not make drastic changes to reduce the state’s nearly 600 school districts and 565 separate towns, then we will have to work even more days and weeks to keep up with our ever-increasing property tax bills.... 
So it is logical to ask, how does New Jersey deliver local services differently than the other 49 states? We are the only state in the nation to have hundreds of fractured school districts. Every other state has unified its K-12 school districts under one administration
And liberals believe it.  Here's Jim Johnson making consolidation one of the key planks of his property tax plan (technically only speaking of municipalities):

Seek Municipal Consolidation and Shared Services Agreements. New Jersey has 565 municipalities, with many duplicative elected officials and departments. Shared services agreements can help municipalities save money by using their combined purchasing power to negotiate lower prices, resulting in taxpayer savings.
The assertion itself that larger localities are significant more efficient seems unproven to me, but what's really annoying is that these politicians are wrong in the premise itself of their claim.

Yes, New Jersey has 590 school districts and that sounds like a lot.  Yes, we have the country's highest property taxes too.  Those facts are actually almost totally unreleated, but the human mind is evolutionarily programmed to see patterns, and so "lots of school districts > high taxes" is an irresistible conclusion.

FALSE PATTERN ALERT!!!

Yes, this claim is factually wrong in a critical respect.


In terms of school districts (or municipalities) per capita or in per student terms, we are average.


State# of Districts# of Public School StudentsStudents Per District
Vermont28676,102266
Montana410144,122352
North Dakota177101,408573
South Dakota151127,772846
Connecticut196531,923928
Missouri557533,473958
New Hampshire161183,9811,143
Nebraska245312,2811,275
Oklahoma516688,3001,334
Iowa337506,3361,502
Georgia201312,2811,554
Ohio, districts1,1161,842,8221,651
Minnesota519857,0391,651
Arizona6271,068,1921,704
Kansas286490,2911,714
Michigan8411,499,0411,782
Arkansas254475,7781,873
Washington, DC4176,8291,874
Wyoming4893,3031,944
Wisconsin424873,7672,061
Idaho137303,1482,213
NEW JERSEY5901,347,1662,283
Alaska54127,0012,352
Massachusetts405955,8442,360
Illinois8652,067,5642,390
Indiana4021,028,6542,559
Rhode Island49127,5032,602
Oregon196538,6342,748
Colorado178567,3833,188
Mississippi151492,2793,260
Pennsylvania4991,711,4673,430
Washington2991,074,0573,592
Delaware37134,0743,624
New York6952,538,9153,653
New Mexico89333,8103,751
Kentucky173685,1763,961
Utah141622,1534,412
California1,0285,215,3425,073
West Virginia55279,8995,089
Texas1,2196,230,0335,111
Louisiana136723,8055,322
Alabama136733,0895,390
Tennessee141971,8036,892
South Carolina86756,8668,801
Maine1981,744,2408,809
Virginia1321,279,5469,694
North Carolina1151,446,23012,576
Nevada17496,48029,205
Maryland24874,51436,438
Florida672,721,45940,619
Hawaii1178,246178,246

It's possible that New Jersey's taxes would be slightly lower if we had fewer districts since we could have slightly fewer superintendents, but what really drives New Jersey's sky-high property taxes is public employee salaries and the number of non-administrative public employees.  To look at our education spending alone, New Jersey has the country's third lowest student:teacher ratio, has the country's fifth highest paid teachers, and, on top of that, has a state aid distribution which is exceptionally focused (compared to other states) on the poorest districts rather than broad-based tax relief.

According to the National Education Association's own 2016 Ranking & Estimates, the average New Jersey teacher makes $68,238, not counting pensions and other benefits, the fifth highest in the US, right behind New York, Massachusetts, California, and Connecticut and right ahead of Alaska, Maryland, and Rhode Island.  Even when you account for differences in local costs, New Jersey teachers only drop into 7th place.

What puts New Jersey's school spending and taxes above its peers in high salaries is how many more teachers we have.

The national average for student:teacher ratio is 15.8:1, but NJ's ratio is the third lowest, at 11.9:1, after Vermont and New Hampshire.  

The four states who have higher teacher salaries than New Jersey have fewer teachers.  New York has a 12.7:1 student:teacher ratio, Massachusetts has a 13.3:1 ratio, California as a 22.5:1 student:teacher ratio (!!!), and Connecticut has a 13.1:1 student teacher ratio.  The states just behind New Jersey in teacher salaries are farther behind in student:teacher ratios.  Rhode Island is 13:1, Maryland is 14.6:1.  Alaska is 16.4:1.

Hence, high salaries + many teachers = extremely high spending.

And while New Jersey does have higher-than-average administrative spending, our spending is high on absolutely everything else too.

Source:
http://www.governing.com/gov-data/education-data/state-education-spending-per-pupil-data.html


Perhaps if New Jersey had fewer school districts we could have fewer teachers, fewer tutors, fewer custodians too, although if that theory were honestly believed, it's really a very stealthy way of seeking larger class size, less support, and dirtier schools?

Anyway, if I were a politician I'd probably pay some lip service to municipal and school district consolidation too, but honestly, New Jersey's sky-high property taxes have less to do with municipal fragmentation and much more to do with high staff salaries, lots of staff to get those salaries, and a very narrowly focused, Abbott-dominated distribution of school aid.

Additional factors in our extreme tax burden are low levels of federal support and having the country's highest percentage of special-needs student in Out of District placement.

Might consolidation save a few bucks by producing more administrative efficiency?  Perhaps it would.  But a serious strategy to reduce New Jersey's extreme property taxes would have to focus on the extremely high cost of government itself and secondly our narrow state aid distribution.

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The invaluable study on the fact that New Jersey actually doesn't have that many local units and that there is no correlation between municipal size and per resident spending is the Rutgers study "Size May Not Be the Issue: An Analysis of the Cost of Local Government and Municipal Size in New Jersey."